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China Special Bi-weekly 20210903

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China Product Watch
Price Trend

The price of the active ingredient in glyphosate appears to have reached a ceiling and that should eventually bring an end to a series of price hikes for the popular herbicide. Glyphosate technical values in China have remained flat for the past three or four weeks for the first time since January 2020. However, that does not mean there will be an immediate corresponding flattening out in prices of the herbicide. Manufacturers are still absorbing previous cost increases for the active ingredient and passing them along to farmers.

Supply chain problems are only going to get worse. China is expected to curtail production from pollution-emitting plants during the Chinese New Year and the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing in February. That will shrink the supply of glyphosate technical ingredient and also the finished product coming out of China early in the new year.


The price of diquat technical concentrate 40% in the Chinese market rose from RMB35,000 per ton last month to RMB40,000 per ton, exceeding the price increase of glyphosate achieved over the same period. Syngenta, Yonon, Red Sun and Shandong Luba are the prime suppliers of diquat technical concentrate 40%. The annual capacity of Red Sun is 20,000 tons, followed by Yonon with 18,000 tons, Shandong Luba with 12,000 tons and Syngenta with 10,000 tons.Serval major diquat manufacturers expressed their view that the price of diquat will not drop for at least five to six months.


The decrease in supply is one of the reasons for the price rise of glufosinate. Up to 2020, the global production capacity of glufosinate was about annually 47,500 tons, of which China’s production capacity of glufosinate accounted for about 60% of the global total capacity.At present, among glufosinate manufacturers, Lier Chemical has the largest production capacity, which is 15,400 tons per year. Shandong Yisheng has a capacity of 6,000 tons and Yonon has a capacity of 5,000 tons.

Industry experts hold the view that since there has been no launch of new glufosinate capacity, the production load in factories is low, and stocks are at a historically low level, whilst overseas demand is increasing. As a result, the price of glufosinate is expected to still rise.

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